Sunday, October 26, 2014

2014 FAIR Rankings - Week 11

The FAIR rankings are based on the following criteria.

Fresh start - All teams in a particular class start the season with identical ratings, or none at all.
All games weighted equally - There is no distinction made between conference and non-conference games, and a week one endowment game counts just as much as a week twelve contest.
Ignore non-NCHSAA games - Because the quality of opponents outside the NCHSAA can very widely and can be difficult to judge, only NCHSAA games will be counted. Any contests against NCISAA or out-of-state opponents will be treated the same as an open date.
Reproducible - The formulas used should be transparent and simple enough that coaches and members of the media can verify the calculations for a particular team.


Class 4A FAIR Rankings

#1 Wake Forest 14.863
#2 Richmond 14.819
#3 New Bern 13.696
#4 Mallard Creek 13.692
#5 Seventy-First 13.305
#6 Reagan 13.272
#7 Independence 13.238
#8 Mooresville 13.099
#9 Dudley 13.063
#10 Middle Creek 13.062
#11 West Forsyth 13.025
#12 Garner 12.959
#13 Providence 12.930
#14 Butler 12.822
#15 Hoggard 12.735
#16 East Wake 12.596
#17 Panther Creek 12.564
#18 Scotland 12.563
#19 North Davidson 12.543
#20 Rose 12.333
#21 East Forsyth 12.284
#22 Charlotte Catholic 11.891
#23 Lake Norman 11.828
#24 Millbrook 11.599
#25 Northwest Guilford 11.444
#26 Southeast Guilford 11.407
#27 Pinecrest 11.396
#28 Green Hope 11.104
#29 South Mecklenburg 10.973
#30 Cape Fear 10.937
#31 Ardrey Kell 10.826
#32 Hough 10.806
#33 Conley 10.692
#34 E.E. Smith 10.605
#35 Vance 10.457
#36 Heritage 10.348
#37 West Johnston 9.937
#38 Watauga 9.890
#39 South Caldwell 9.775
#40 High Point Central 9.699
#41 Rocky River 9.644
#42 New Hanover 9.400
#43 South Central 8.994
#44 Wakefield 8.799
#45 Holly Springs 8.747
#46 Mount Tabor 8.716
#47 Apex 8.673
#48 Clayton 8.535
#49 Leesville Road 8.519
#50 Hillside 8.481
#51 Ragsdale 8.101
#52 Lumberton 7.921
#53 Davie 7.883
#54 Jack Britt 7.821
#55 Southeast Raleigh 7.721
#56 Fuquay-Varina 7.663
#57 Brown 7.449
#58 Roberson 7.288
#59 Athens Drive 7.278
#60 West Charlotte 7.274
#61 Hoke 7.232
#62 Overhills 7.174
#63 Laney 7.072
#64 Myers Park 7.000
#65 Berry Academy 6.780
#66 Alexander Central 6.660
#67 Knightdale 6.511
#68 Glenn 6.504
#69 Olympic 6.502
#70 Pine Forest 6.488
#71 Sanderson 6.228
#72 Purnell Swett 5.982
#73 North Mecklenburg 5.902
#74 Riverside - Durham 5.855
#75 Northern Durham 5.609
#76 Page 5.497
#77 Harnett Central 5.488
#78 Southwest Guilford 5.488
#79 Ben L. Smith 5.037
#80 Grimsley 4.975
#81 South View 4.928
#82 East Mecklenburg 4.918
#83 Enloe 4.910
#84 Hopewell 4.672
#85 Person County 4.530
#86 West Mecklenburg 4.351
#87 Porter Ridge 4.155
#88 Jordan 4.027
#89 Harding 3.922
#90 Broughton 3.899
#91 Southern Alamance 3.704
#92 McDowell 3.701
#93 R.J. Reynolds 3.684
#94 Rolesville 3.458
#95 Cary 3.219
#96 Parkland 3.027
#97 Robinson 2.449
#98 Ashley 2.193
#99 Garinger 2.125
#100 East Chapel Hill 1.930

Class 3A FAIR Rankings

#1 Southern Durham 14.360
#2 Concord 13.861
#3 Southern Guilford 13.200
#4 Eastern Alamance 12.852
#5 Orange County 12.735
#6 Northern Guilford 12.473
#7 Asheville 12.460
#8 Erwin 12.272
#9 Freedom 12.259
#10 Crest 12.086
#11 Weddington 12.051
#12 Havelock 11.588
#13 Hickory Ridge 11.383
#14 Lee County 11.371
#15 Fike 11.210
#16 Cleveland 11.107
#17 Terry Sanford 10.710
#18 Western Alamance 10.590
#19 Asheboro 10.234
#20 Chapel Hill 10.218
#21 West Carteret 10.095
#22 Eastern Wayne 10.021
#23 Ledford 9.735
#24 North Buncombe 9.704
#25 Northwood 9.699
#26 Southern Nash 9.562
#27 West Rowan 9.443
#28 Eastern Guilford 9.426
#29 Cuthbertson 9.198
#30 Kings Mountain 9.156
#31 Forestview 9.094
#32 Corinth-Holders 9.026
#33 South Iredell 8.722
#34 North Lincoln 8.687
#35 West Brunswick 8.657
#36 Sun Valley 8.572
#37 Pisgah 8.507
#38 Rocky Mount 8.420
#39 South Point 8.387
#40 Southern Lee 8.329
#41 Cardinal Gibbons 8.196
#42 Hunt 8.186
#43 Central Cabarrus 8.053
#44 Statesville 7.997
#45 A.C. Reynolds 7.988
#46 Gray's Creek 7.753
#47 West Henderson 7.729
#48 Northern Nash 7.563
#49 East Rowan 7.536
#50 Cox Mill 7.306
#51 Foard 7.252
#52 Williams 7.056
#53 Union Pines 7.046
#54 Hibriten 7.021
#55 Morehead 6.903
#56 South Johnston 6.876
#57 Ashbrook 6.784
#58 Southwestern Randolph 6.678
#59 North Iredell 6.654
#60 Jacksonville 6.651
#61 Marvin Ridge 6.594
#62 Burns 6.534
#63 West Craven 6.311
#64 Carson 6.292
#65 East Gaston 6.179
#66 White Oak 6.122
#67 Piedmont 6.029
#68 North Forsyth 5.983
#69 Western Harnett 5.793
#70 Aycock 5.748
#71 South Brunswick 5.601
#72 Smithfield-Selma 5.575
#73 Cedar Ridge 5.323
#74 Tuscola 5.217
#75 Swansboro 5.081
#76 East Henderson 5.025
#77 South Rowan 5.006
#78 St. Stephens 4.845
#79 Webb 4.650
#80 Western Guilford 4.648
#81 North Gaston 4.507
#82 West Iredell 4.312
#83 Central Davidson 4.163
#84 Richlands 4.148
#85 Northern Vance 4.072
#86 Topsail 4.055
#87 Enka 3.996
#88 Byrd 3.856
#89 Hickory 3.847
#90 Northeast Guilford 3.574
#91 Rockingham 3.507
#92 McMichael 3.495
#93 Anson 3.407
#94 Southern Wayne 3.377
#95 Northwest Cabarrus 3.136
#96 Patton 2.815
#97 Westover 2.685
#98 North Henderson 2.614
#99 Nash Central 2.601
#100 Triton 2.543

Class 2A FAIR Rankings

#1 East Lincoln 12.696
#2 Northeastern 11.423
#3 Washington 11.335
#4 Shelby 11.282
#5 Franklin 11.001
#6 Owen 10.570
#7 Ashe 10.282
#8 Lincolnton 10.062
#9 Southwest Onslow 10.015
#10 Randleman 9.968
#11 Mount Pleasant 9.890
#12 Clinton 9.643
#13 Carver 9.368
#14 Polk 9.252
#15 Newton-Conover 9.007
#16 North Rowan 8.982
#17 Reidsville 8.974
#18 Farmville Central 8.765
#19 Northside-Jacksonville 8.722
#20 Holmes 8.590
#21 Southwest Edgecombe 8.537
#22 Roanoke Rapids 8.423
#23 East Bladen 8.359
#24 Bandys 8.343
#25 Monroe 8.250
#26 Eastern Randolph 8.228
#27 Hendersonville 8.202
#28 R-S Central 8.106
#29 South Granville 8.009
#30 Croatan 7.735
#31 West Stokes 7.686
#32 Cummings 7.607
#33 Maiden 7.349
#34 Forest Hills 7.221
#35 Franklinton 7.188
#36 Salisbury 7.097
#37 Mountain Heritage 7.036
#38 Surry Central 7.006
#39 Graham 6.835
#40 Bunn 6.790
#41 Parkwood 6.723
#42 Kinston 6.632
#43 East Rutherford 6.625
#44 Bertie 6.619
#45 Ayden-Grifton 6.616
#46 North Brunswick 6.591
#47 Warren County 6.498
#48 Beddingfield 6.401
#49 West Bladen 6.376
#50 Trinity 6.301
#51 Hunter Huss 5.989
#52 Midway 5.853
#53 Fairmont 5.847
#54 North Pitt 5.728
#55 St. Pauls 5.690
#56 Pasquotank 5.513
#57 Forbush 5.511
#58 East Duplin 5.487
#59 West Lincoln 5.440
#60 Currituck 5.425
#61 Central Academy 5.366
#62 Wheatmore 5.338
#63 West Caldwell 5.300
#64 Carrboro 5.196
#65 Providence Grove 5.142
#66 T.W. Andrews 5.043
#67 South Columbus 4.992
#68 Hertford 4.470
#69 East Davidson 4.429
#70 Greene Central 4.259
#71 North Surry 4.250
#72 East Burke 4.216
#73 Wilkes Central 4.216
#74 South Stokes 3.880
#75 Madison County 3.853
#76 First Flight 3.757
#77 Jordan-Matthews 3.706
#78 South Lenoir 3.670
#79 Chase 3.657
#80 Thomasville 3.643
#81 West Stanly 3.628
#82 Lexington 3.584
#83 Lake Norman Charter 3.570
#84 North Lenoir 3.564
#85 Smoky Mountain 3.330
#86 Red Springs 3.203
#87 Goldsboro 3.155
#88 Southern Vance 3.113
#89 Draughn 3.070
#90 North Johnston 3.064
#91 West Wilkes 2.713
#92 Dixon 2.607
#93 Stuart Cramer 2.450
#94 West Davidson 2.448
#95 Bunker Hill 2.200
#96 Brevard 2.167
#97 Bartlett Yancey 1.948
#98 North Wilkes 1.829

Class 1A FAIR Rankings

#1 Wallace-Rose Hill 10.510
#2 Mount Airy 10.313
#3 Robbinsville 9.406
#4 East Surry 9.265
#5 James Kenan 8.819
#6 Plymouth 8.578
#7 West Montgomery 8.571
#8 Whiteville 8.436
#9 Princeton 8.122
#10 Pamlico 8.045
#11 Swain 8.021
#12 Tarboro 7.683
#13 Starmount 7.314
#14 Southeast Halifax 7.248
#15 Gates County 7.125
#16 Camden 6.916
#17 Albemarle 6.861
#18 Murphy 6.833
#19 North Edgecombe 6.780
#20 Southside 6.679
#21 Mitchell 6.622
#22 Alleghany 6.607
#23 North Stanly 6.577
#24 Thomas Jefferson 6.378
#25 Bessemer City 6.222
#26 Avery 6.062
#27 Walkertown 5.951
#28 Louisburg 5.651
#29 Rosewood 5.626
#30 Elkin 5.593
#31 Pine Lake Prep 5.369
#32 Comm Sch of Davidson 4.933
#33 Lakewood 4.919
#34 South Creek 4.851
#35 Northside-Pinetown 4.798
#36 Granville Central 4.690
#37 North Moore 4.657
#38 Union Academy 4.655
#39 Riverside-Martin 4.574
#40 Union 4.482
#41 East Montgomery 4.367
#42 Rosman 4.254
#43 East Carteret 4.188
#44 Atkins 4.187
#45 North Duplin 4.171
#46 Bishop McGuinness 4.157
#47 Columbia 4.080
#48 East Wilkes 3.898
#49 Cherryville 3.736
#50 Perquimans 3.579
#51 Cherokee 3.571
#52 Hobbton 3.538
#53 Rocky Mount Prep 3.377
#54 South Stanly 3.276
#55 Weldon 3.206
#56 Manteo 3.091
#57 Northampton 3.058
#58 Trask 3.021
#59 Creswell 2.962
#60 South Robeson 2.868
#61 Jones 2.850
#62 Kestrel Heights 2.567
#63 Spring Creek 2.373
#64 Hayesville 2.341
#65 West Columbus 2.250
#66 Winston-Salem Prep 2.146
#67 KIPP Pride 2.120
#68 Andrews 2.088
#69 North Stokes 2.000
#70 Northwest Halifax 1.987
#71 Pender 1.930
#72 Chatham Central 1.677
#73 East Columbus 1.578
#74 Mattamuskeet 1.518
#75 South Davidson 1.481
#76 Highland Tech 1.450
#77 Lejeune 1.247